AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa Espírito Santo Jul 03, 2024

Real Noroeste

Home
VS
22:00

Vitoria

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Real Noroeste Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Vitoria Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 4.50 - 2.79
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 2.8
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Noroeste Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Vitoria Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2 (4%) 3-3 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-2 (3%) 2-3 (3%) 2-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Real Noroeste Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 22 Real Noro… vs Vilavelhe… 3-1
Jun 19 Real Noro… vs Desportiv… 3-1
May 25 Real Noro… vs Vitoria 4-4
May 15 Real Noro… vs Rio Branc… 2-3
Mar 15 Real Noro… vs Vitoria 2-4
Mar 11 Real Noro… vs Vitoria 3-1
Mar 02 Real Noro… vs Rio Branc… 0-1
Feb 28 Real Noro… vs Rio Branc… 1-2
Feb 25 Real Noro… vs Desportiv… 2-2
Feb 10 Real Noro… vs Rio Branc… 1-1
Vitoria Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 23 Vitoria vs RB Bragan… 2-1
Jun 16 Vitoria vs Internaci… 2-1
Jun 01 Vitoria vs Porto Vit… 3-1
May 25 Vitoria vs Real Noro… 4-4
May 22 Vitoria vs Botafogo 1-2
May 18 Vitoria vs Vilavelhe… 3-1
May 11 Vitoria vs Desportiv… 0-0
May 05 Vitoria vs São Paulo… 1-3
May 04 Vitoria vs Capixaba … 2-1
May 02 Vitoria vs Botafogo 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real Noroeste struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Vitoria struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 25, 2024 Real Noroeste 4 - 4 Vitoria Copa Espírito …
Mar 15, 2024 Real Noroeste 2 - 4 Vitoria Capixaba
Mar 11, 2024 Vitoria 3 - 1 Real Noroeste Capixaba
Jan 31, 2024 Vitoria 2 - 3 Real Noroeste Capixaba
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Real Noroeste to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Real Noroeste Power 0
Vitoria Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.