AI Match Insights
Serie A Feb 12, 2026
Fluminense
HomeVS
22:30
Botafogo
AwayAI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Fluminense Win
Draw
Botafogo Win
Home Win
(43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
Combined: 59%
Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 3.58 - 0.83
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.6 vs 0.8
Score Prediction Analysis
Fluminense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Botafogo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%)
2-0 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
2-1 (6%)
1-0 (4%)
1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
Under 2.5 Goals
34%
Fluminense Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 01 | Fluminense vs Botafogo | 0-1 |
| Feb 01 | Fluminense vs Maranhão … | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Fluminense vs TEC | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Fluminense vs Sertãozin… | 0-0 |
| Jan 28 | Fluminense vs Taubaté | 1-1 |
| Jan 28 | Fluminense vs Gremio | 2-1 |
| Jan 28 | Fluminense vs ITZ Sport | 0-2 |
| Jan 25 | Fluminense vs Flamengo | 2-1 |
| Jan 25 | Fluminense vs Sampaio C… | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Fluminense vs Votuporan… | 0-0 |
Botafogo Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 05 | Botafogo vs Gremio | 5-3 |
| Feb 01 | Botafogo vs Fluminense | 0-1 |
| Jan 30 | Botafogo vs Cruzeiro | 4-0 |
| Jan 25 | Botafogo vs Bangu | 2-0 |
| Jan 21 | Botafogo vs Volta Red… | 1-0 |
| Jan 18 | Botafogo vs Sampaio C… | 2-1 |
| Jan 15 | Botafogo vs Portugues… | 0-2 |
| Jan 04 | Botafogo vs Santa Cru… | 3-1 |
| Dec 04 | Botafogo vs Cruzeiro | 2-2 |
| Nov 30 | Botafogo vs Corinthia… | 2-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Botafogo in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 01, 2026 | Botafogo | 0 - 1 | Fluminense | Carioca - 1 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Fluminense | 2 - 0 | Botafogo | Serie A |
| Sep 03, 2025 | Botafogo | 1 - 1 | Fluminense | Brasileiro U17 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Botafogo | 2 - 0 | Fluminense | Serie A |
| Feb 09, 2025 | Botafogo | 4 - 1 | Fluminense | Paraibano |
| Jan 30, 2025 | Botafogo | 2 - 1 | Fluminense | Carioca - 1 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Fluminense | 0 - 1 | Botafogo | Serie A |
| Jun 11, 2024 | Botafogo | 1 - 0 | Fluminense | Serie A |
| Mar 03, 2024 | Fluminense | 2 - 4 | Botafogo | Carioca - 1 |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Fluminense | 0 - 0 | Botafogo | Paraibano |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Fluminense Power
0
Botafogo Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
8
Fluminense Position-3
Position Gap5
Botafogo Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.