AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Feb 12, 2026

Athletico Paranaense

Home
VS
22:00

Santos

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Athletico Paranaense Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Santos Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 3.76 - 0.50
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 0.5 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Athletico Paranaense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Santos Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (6%) 1-0 (5%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Athletico Paranaense Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Athletico… vs Foz Do Ig… 5-0
Jan 28 Athletico… vs Internaci… 0-1
Jan 24 Athletico… vs Aruko Spo… 4-1
Jan 20 Athletico… vs Azuriz 2-1
Jan 17 Athletico… vs Coritiba 0-1
Jan 14 Athletico… vs Operário-… 2-0
Jan 11 Athletico… vs Cianorte 1-1
Jan 08 Athletico… vs Andraus B… 1-2
Nov 23 Athletico… vs Chapecoen… 1-0
Nov 19 Athletico… vs Gavião 3-1
Santos Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Santos vs São Paulo… 1-1
Jan 31 Santos vs São Paulo… 2-0
Jan 28 Santos vs Chapecoen… 4-2
Jan 25 Santos vs RB Bragan… 0-0
Jan 22 Santos vs Corinthia… 1-1
Jan 18 Santos vs Guaraní C… 1-1
Jan 14 Santos vs Palmeiras 1-0
Jan 10 Santos vs Novorizon… 2-1
Dec 03 Santos vs Juventude 0-3
Nov 29 Santos vs Sport Rec… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Athletico Paranaense struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 03, 2023 Athletico Paranaense 3 - 0 Santos Serie A
Aug 05, 2023 Santos 1 - 1 Athletico Paranaense Serie A
Sep 28, 2022 Santos 2 - 0 Athletico Paranaense Serie A
Jun 04, 2022 Athletico Paranaense 2 - 2 Santos Serie A
Oct 30, 2021 Athletico Paranaense 0 - 1 Santos Serie A
Sep 15, 2021 Santos 0 - 1 Athletico Paranaense Copa do Brasil
Aug 25, 2021 Athletico Paranaense 1 - 0 Santos Copa do Brasil
Jul 06, 2021 Santos 2 - 1 Athletico Paranaense Serie A
Nov 21, 2020 Athletico Paranaense 1 - 0 Santos Serie A
Aug 16, 2020 Santos 3 - 1 Athletico Paranaense Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Athletico Paranaense to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Athletico Paranaense Power 0
Santos Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Athletico Paranaense Position

+7

Position Gap

17

Santos Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.