AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Feb 12, 2026

Vasco DA Gama

Home
VS
00:30

Bahia

Away
AI Predictions 42.8% Confidence
Vasco DA Gama Win
29.0%
Draw
28.2%
Bahia Win
42.8%
Away Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 34%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.21 - 0.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.6
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Vasco DA Gama Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Bahia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 0-0 (16%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (12%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
Vasco DA Gama Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Vasco DA … vs Chapecoen… 0-0
Feb 02 Vasco DA … vs Madureira… 0-0
Jan 29 Vasco DA … vs Mirassol 2-1
Jan 25 Vasco DA … vs Boavista 0-3
Jan 22 Vasco DA … vs Flamengo 1-0
Jan 18 Vasco DA … vs Nova Igua… 0-0
Jan 16 Vasco DA … vs Maringá 4-2
Dec 18 Vasco DA … vs Corinthia… 0-0
Dec 14 Vasco DA … vs Fluminense 1-0
Dec 11 Vasco DA … vs Fluminense 2-1
Bahia Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Bahia vs Fluminense 1-1
Feb 01 Bahia vs Porto BA 3-1
Jan 28 Bahia vs Corinthia… 1-2
Jan 25 Bahia vs Vitoria 0-1
Jan 20 Bahia vs Barcelona… 5-1
Jan 17 Bahia vs GalĂ­cia 3-0
Jan 14 Bahia vs Bahia de … 0-3
Jan 11 Bahia vs Jequié 4-2
Dec 07 Bahia vs Fluminense 2-0
Dec 03 Bahia vs Sport Rec… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bahia in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 23, 2025 Bahia 1 - 0 Vasco DA Gama Serie A
Sep 24, 2025 Vasco DA Gama 3 - 1 Bahia Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Vasco DA Gama Power 0
Bahia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

Vasco DA Gama Position

-8

Position Gap

7

Bahia Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.