AI Match Insights

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Serie A Feb 11, 2026

Mirassol

Home
VS
22:00

Cruzeiro

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Mirassol Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Cruzeiro Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 95%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 2.60 - 0.28
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.3 Position gap: 17 places
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mirassol Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Cruzeiro Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
76%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (19%) 3-0 (16%) 1-0 (15%) 0-0 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 3-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%
Mirassol Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Mirassol vs Remo 2-2
Feb 02 Mirassol vs Novorizon… 1-1
Jan 29 Mirassol vs Vasco DA … 2-1
Jan 24 Mirassol vs São Berna… 0-4
Jan 21 Mirassol vs RB Bragan… 0-0
Jan 17 Mirassol vs Palmeiras 1-0
Jan 14 Mirassol vs Primavera… 3-1
Jan 11 Mirassol vs São Paulo… 3-0
Dec 02 Mirassol vs Vasco DA … 0-2
Nov 29 Mirassol vs Vitoria 2-0
Cruzeiro Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Cruzeiro vs Betim 0-0
Jan 30 Cruzeiro vs Botafogo 4-0
Jan 25 Cruzeiro vs Atletico-… 2-1
Jan 22 Cruzeiro vs Democrata… 0-1
Jan 17 Cruzeiro vs Uberlândia 5-0
Jan 15 Cruzeiro vs Tombense 1-2
Jan 10 Cruzeiro vs Pouso Ale… 1-2
Dec 14 Cruzeiro vs Corinthia… 1-2
Dec 11 Cruzeiro vs Corinthia… 0-1
Dec 04 Cruzeiro vs Botafogo 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cruzeiro struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 18, 2025 Mirassol 1 - 1 Cruzeiro Serie A
Mar 29, 2025 Cruzeiro 2 - 1 Mirassol Serie A
Final Verdict

MASTER: Mirassol to win (83% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 17
Mirassol Power 0
Cruzeiro Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Mirassol Position

+17

Position Gap

20

Cruzeiro Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.