AI Match Insights
Stars League Feb 27, 2025
Al-Gharafa
HomeVS
13:45
Al-Sadd SC
AwayAI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Al-Gharafa Win
Draw
Al-Sadd SC Win
Away Win
(38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
52%
Market
50%
Combined: 60%
Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 3.48 - 1.12
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 1.1
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Gharafa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Al-Sadd SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%)
3-0 (7%)
2-1 (7%)
2-0 (6%)
3-2 (4%)
1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
65%
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
Under 2.5 Goals
30%
Al-Gharafa Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 | Al-Gharafa vs Al-Sadd SC | 4-2 |
| Mar 06 | Al-Gharafa vs Al-Sadd SC | 2-2 |
| Mar 03 | Al-Gharafa vs Al Sailiy… | 3-1 |
| Sep 28 | Al-Gharafa vs Al-Sadd SC | 4-0 |
| Sep 15 | Al-Gharafa vs Al-Sadd SC | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Al-Gharafa vs Al-Sadd SC | 1-3 |
| Jan 29 | Al-Gharafa vs Al Sailiy… | 1-2 |
| Aug 02 | Al-Gharafa vs Al Sailiy… | 2-1 |
| Mar 10 | Al-Gharafa vs Al Sailiy… | 3-2 |
| Dec 29 | Al-Gharafa vs Al Sailiy… | 3-0 |
Al-Sadd SC Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24 | Al-Sadd SC vs Landskron… | 2-0 |
| Feb 16 | Al-Sadd SC vs gefle IF | 4-0 |
| Feb 03 | Al-Sadd SC vs Al-Ahli S… | 1-3 |
| Jan 23 | Al-Sadd SC vs Qatar SC | 0-1 |
| Jan 12 | Al-Sadd SC vs Al Shamal… | 1-0 |
| Dec 07 | Al-Sadd SC vs Al Wahda … | 2-2 |
| Nov 10 | Al-Sadd SC vs AIK Stock… | 5-1 |
| Nov 03 | Al-Sadd SC vs Djurgårde… | 1-0 |
| Oct 31 | Al-Sadd SC vs Al-Rayyan | 2-1 |
| Oct 27 | Al-Sadd SC vs BK Häcken | 0-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Al-Sadd SC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
- Al-Gharafa struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2024 | Al-Sadd SC | 4 - 2 | Al-Gharafa | Stars League |
| Mar 06, 2024 | Al-Gharafa | 2 - 2 | Al-Sadd SC | Stars League |
| Sep 28, 2023 | Al-Sadd SC | 4 - 0 | Al-Gharafa | Stars League |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Al-Sadd SC | 0 - 1 | Al-Gharafa | QFA Cup |
| Feb 15, 2023 | Al-Gharafa | 1 - 3 | Al-Sadd SC | Stars League |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Al-Gharafa to win (41% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Al-Gharafa Power
0
Al-Sadd SC Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
1
Al-Gharafa Position+1
Position Gap2
Al-Sadd SC Position
Home Win Rate: 86%
Away Win Rate: 83%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.