AI Match Insights
Stars League Sep 28, 2023
Al-Sadd SC
HomeVS
15:00
Al-Gharafa
AwayAI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Al-Sadd SC Win
Draw
Al-Gharafa Win
Home Win
(45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
53%
Market
50%
Combined: 61%
Draw Risk: 12%
xG: 3.75 - 0.47
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 0.5
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Sadd SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Al-Gharafa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%)
2-0 (10%)
3-1 (6%)
1-0 (6%)
2-1 (5%)
1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
37%
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
Al-Sadd SC Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | Al-Sadd SC vs Qatar SC | 1-3 |
| Sep 15 | Al-Sadd SC vs Al-Gharafa | 0-1 |
| Sep 04 | Al-Sadd SC vs Al Sailiy… | 7-0 |
| Aug 26 | Al-Sadd SC vs Al Wahda … | 4-2 |
| Apr 28 | Al-Sadd SC vs Al-Rayyan | 2-0 |
| Apr 24 | Al-Sadd SC vs Al Sailiy… | 5-1 |
| Apr 15 | Al-Sadd SC vs Qatar SC | 0-2 |
| Mar 17 | Al-Sadd SC vs Al Shamal… | 1-3 |
| Mar 03 | Al-Sadd SC vs Al Sailiy… | 4-0 |
| Feb 25 | Al-Sadd SC vs Qatar SC | 2-0 |
Al-Gharafa Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 15 | Al-Gharafa vs Al-Sadd SC | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Al-Gharafa vs Al-Sadd SC | 1-3 |
| Jan 29 | Al-Gharafa vs Al Sailiy… | 1-2 |
| Aug 02 | Al-Gharafa vs Al Sailiy… | 2-1 |
| Mar 10 | Al-Gharafa vs Al Sailiy… | 3-2 |
| Dec 29 | Al-Gharafa vs Al Sailiy… | 3-0 |
| Dec 08 | Al-Gharafa vs Al Sailiy… | 3-0 |
| Nov 08 | Al-Gharafa vs Al Sailiy… | 3-1 |
| Feb 13 | Al-Gharafa vs Al Sailiy… | 0-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Al-Sadd SC in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
- Al-Gharafa in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2023 | Al-Sadd SC | 0 - 1 | Al-Gharafa | QFA Cup |
| Feb 15, 2023 | Al-Gharafa | 1 - 3 | Al-Sadd SC | Stars League |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Al-Sadd SC to win (41% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Al-Sadd SC Power
0
Al-Gharafa Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
1
Al-Sadd SC Position+1
Position Gap2
Al-Gharafa Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.