AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Jan 04, 2025

Ayr Utd

Home
VS
15:00

Raith Rovers

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Ayr Utd Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Raith Rovers Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 56%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.20 - 0.77
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.8
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ayr Utd Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Raith Rovers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
Ayr Utd Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 28 Ayr Utd vs Morton 0-0
Dec 07 Ayr Utd vs Partick 1-0
Nov 30 Ayr Utd vs Morton 2-0
Nov 23 Ayr Utd vs Dunfermli… 1-0
Nov 16 Ayr Utd vs Queen's P… 3-2
Nov 12 Ayr Utd vs East Kilb… 3-2
Nov 08 Ayr Utd vs Morton 1-1
Nov 01 Ayr Utd vs Raith Rov… 2-0
Oct 26 Ayr Utd vs Airdrieon… 0-1
Oct 12 Ayr Utd vs Peterhead 2-1
Raith Rovers Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 20 Raith Rov… vs Queen's P… 1-2
Dec 14 Raith Rov… vs Dunfermli… 2-0
Nov 30 Raith Rov… vs Linlithgo… 0-4
Nov 09 Raith Rov… vs Partick 1-1
Nov 01 Raith Rov… vs Ayr Utd 2-0
Oct 29 Raith Rov… vs Airdrieon… 1-0
Oct 19 Raith Rov… vs Queen's P… 1-1
Sep 21 Raith Rov… vs Hamilton … 3-3
Sep 13 Raith Rov… vs Dunfermli… 2-0
Sep 08 Raith Rov… vs Ayr Utd 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ayr Utd in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Raith Rovers in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 01, 2024 Raith Rovers 2 - 0 Ayr Utd Championship
Sep 08, 2024 Ayr Utd 3 - 2 Raith Rovers Challenge Cup
Aug 24, 2024 Ayr Utd 2 - 0 Raith Rovers Championship
Apr 06, 2024 Raith Rovers 2 - 1 Ayr Utd Championship
Feb 24, 2024 Ayr Utd 1 - 2 Raith Rovers Championship
Dec 22, 2023 Raith Rovers 4 - 4 Ayr Utd Championship
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ayr Utd Power 0
Raith Rovers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Ayr Utd Position

+2

Position Gap

6

Raith Rovers Position
Home Win Rate: 27%
Away Win Rate: 17%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.