AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Nov 01, 2024

Raith Rovers

Home
VS
19:45

Ayr Utd

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Raith Rovers Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Ayr Utd Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.77 - 1.15
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 1.1
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Raith Rovers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Ayr Utd Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (10%) 2-0 (8%) 1-2 (6%) 0-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Raith Rovers Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 29 Raith Rov… vs Airdrieon… 1-0
Oct 19 Raith Rov… vs Queen's P… 1-1
Sep 21 Raith Rov… vs Hamilton … 3-3
Sep 13 Raith Rov… vs Dunfermli… 2-0
Sep 08 Raith Rov… vs Ayr Utd 3-2
Aug 24 Raith Rov… vs Ayr Utd 2-0
Aug 13 Raith Rov… vs Cowdenbea… 3-4
Aug 10 Raith Rov… vs Partick 1-0
Aug 03 Raith Rov… vs Airdrieon… 1-0
Jul 30 Raith Rov… vs Hibernian… 3-3
Ayr Utd Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 26 Ayr Utd vs Airdrieon… 0-1
Oct 12 Ayr Utd vs Peterhead 2-1
Sep 28 Ayr Utd vs Morton 1-0
Sep 21 Ayr Utd vs Queen's P… 1-1
Sep 14 Ayr Utd vs Partick 1-1
Sep 08 Ayr Utd vs Raith Rov… 3-2
Aug 31 Ayr Utd vs Dunfermli… 1-1
Aug 24 Ayr Utd vs Raith Rov… 2-0
Aug 09 Ayr Utd vs Airdrieon… 5-0
Jul 20 Ayr Utd vs Dundee Utd 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ayr Utd in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 08, 2024 Ayr Utd 3 - 2 Raith Rovers Challenge Cup
Aug 24, 2024 Ayr Utd 2 - 0 Raith Rovers Championship
Apr 06, 2024 Raith Rovers 2 - 1 Ayr Utd Championship
Feb 24, 2024 Ayr Utd 1 - 2 Raith Rovers Championship
Dec 22, 2023 Raith Rovers 4 - 4 Ayr Utd Championship
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Raith Rovers Power 0
Ayr Utd Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Raith Rovers Position

-2

Position Gap

4

Ayr Utd Position
Home Win Rate: 42%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.