AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Aug 24, 2024

Ayr Utd

Home
VS
14:00

Raith Rovers

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Ayr Utd Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Raith Rovers Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 56%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 4.50 - 1.00
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.0
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ayr Utd Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Raith Rovers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
37%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 2-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Ayr Utd Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 09 Ayr Utd vs Airdrieon… 5-0
Jul 20 Ayr Utd vs Dundee Utd 2-1
May 03 Ayr Utd vs Dunfermli… 3-3
Apr 27 Ayr Utd vs Partick 0-0
Apr 20 Ayr Utd vs Dundee Utd 1-0
Apr 13 Ayr Utd vs Arbroath 5-0
Apr 09 Ayr Utd vs Morton 1-1
Apr 06 Ayr Utd vs Raith Rov… 2-1
Mar 29 Ayr Utd vs Airdrieon… 2-1
Mar 23 Ayr Utd vs Queen's P… 1-2
Raith Rovers Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 13 Raith Rov… vs Cowdenbea… 3-4
Aug 10 Raith Rov… vs Partick 1-0
Aug 03 Raith Rov… vs Airdrieon… 1-0
Jul 30 Raith Rov… vs Hibernian… 3-3
Jul 27 Raith Rov… vs Hamilton … 1-1
Jul 20 Raith Rov… vs Ross Coun… 2-1
May 26 Raith Rov… vs Ross Coun… 4-0
May 23 Raith Rov… vs Ross Coun… 1-2
May 17 Raith Rov… vs Partick 1-2
May 14 Raith Rov… vs Partick 1-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 06, 2024 Raith Rovers 2 - 1 Ayr Utd Championship
Feb 24, 2024 Ayr Utd 1 - 2 Raith Rovers Championship
Dec 22, 2023 Raith Rovers 4 - 4 Ayr Utd Championship
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ayr Utd Power 0
Raith Rovers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Ayr Utd Position

+2

Position Gap

6

Raith Rovers Position
Home Win Rate: 27%
Away Win Rate: 17%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.