AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A1 Feb 14, 2024

São Paulo FC

Home
VS
22:30

Santos

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
São Paulo FC Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Santos Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 73%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.46 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.2
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
São Paulo FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Santos Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (28%) 2-0 (20%) 0-0 (19%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Under 2.5 Goals 77%
São Paulo FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 São Paulo… vs Palmeiras 0-0
Jan 30 São Paulo… vs Corinthia… 1-2
Jan 23 São Paulo… vs Mirassol 1-1
Dec 07 São Paulo… vs Flamengo 1-0
Dec 03 São Paulo… vs Atletico-… 2-1
Nov 29 São Paulo… vs Bahia 0-1
Nov 26 São Paulo… vs Cuiabá 0-0
Nov 23 São Paulo… vs Fluminense 1-0
Nov 12 São Paulo… vs Santos 0-0
Oct 25 São Paulo… vs Palmeiras 5-0
Santos Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 11 Santos vs Mirassol 2-2
Feb 07 Santos vs Corinthia… 1-0
Feb 04 Santos vs Guaraní C… 2-0
Feb 03 Santos vs Águia de … 1-1
Jan 28 Santos vs Palmeiras 2-1
Jan 28 Santos vs Castanhal 1-0
Jan 24 Santos vs São Franc… 0-1
Dec 07 Santos vs Fortaleza 1-2
Dec 03 Santos vs Athletico… 3-0
Nov 29 Santos vs Fluminense 0-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 12, 2023 Santos 0 - 0 São Paulo FC Serie A
Jul 16, 2023 São Paulo FC 4 - 1 Santos Serie A
Feb 12, 2023 São Paulo FC 3 - 1 Santos Paulista - A1
Aug 21, 2022 Santos 1 - 0 São Paulo FC Serie A
May 02, 2022 São Paulo FC 2 - 1 Santos Serie A
Feb 20, 2022 Santos 0 - 3 São Paulo FC Paulista - A1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
São Paulo FC Power 0
Santos Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

São Paulo FC Position

+2

Position Gap

14

Santos Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.