AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B May 21, 2023

Ponte Preta

Home
VS
21:00

GuaranĂ­ Campinas

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Ponte Preta Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
GuaranĂ­ Campinas Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.66 - 0.24
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.2
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ponte Preta Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
GuaranĂ­ Campinas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
79%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (15%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Under 2.5 Goals 71%
Ponte Preta Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 11 Ponte Pre… vs Oeste 2-0
Feb 11 Ponte Pre… vs Oeste 2-1
Jan 14 Ponte Pre… vs Velo Clube 1-2
Aug 20 Ponte Pre… vs Guaraní C… 1-0
May 08 Ponte Pre… vs Guaraní C… 0-0
Mar 12 Ponte Pre… vs Corinthia… 5-0
Feb 05 Ponte Pre… vs São Berna… 2-0
Nov 24 Ponte Pre… vs Oeste 1-0
Aug 18 Ponte Pre… vs Oeste 1-3
GuaranĂ­ Campinas Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 10 Guaraní C… vs Portugues… 2-1
Feb 08 Guaraní C… vs Portugues… 2-1
Jan 19 Guaraní C… vs Santos 2-0
Sep 21 Guaraní C… vs Novorizon… 2-0
Aug 20 Guaraní C… vs Ponte Pre… 1-0
Jun 12 Guaraní C… vs Novorizon… 1-2
May 08 Guaraní C… vs Ponte Pre… 0-0
Feb 12 Guaraní C… vs Novorizon… 1-2
Feb 06 Guaraní C… vs Santos 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ponte Preta in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • GuaranĂ­ Campinas in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 20, 2022 Ponte Preta 1 - 0 GuaranĂ­ Campinas Serie B
May 08, 2022 GuaranĂ­ Campinas 0 - 0 Ponte Preta Serie B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ponte Preta to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ponte Preta Power 0
GuaranĂ­ Campinas Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.