AI Match Insights
Sergipano Feb 05, 2022
Lagarto
HomeVS
19:00
AO Itabaiana
AwayAI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Lagarto Win
Draw
AO Itabaiana Win
Home Win
(55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
Combined: 40%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.66 - 0.53
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lagarto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
AO Itabaiana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (30%)
1-0 (20%)
0-1 (16%)
1-1 (11%)
2-0 (7%)
0-2 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
12%
Under 2.5 Goals
88%
Lagarto Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 23 | Lagarto vs Atlético … | 1-2 |
| May 09 | Lagarto vs AO Itabai… | 0-2 |
| May 06 | Lagarto vs AO Itabai… | 2-0 |
| May 01 | Lagarto vs AO Itabai… | 1-1 |
| Apr 28 | Lagarto vs Atlético … | 0-1 |
| Mar 24 | Lagarto vs AO Itabai… | 0-2 |
| Mar 13 | Lagarto vs Atlético … | 0-2 |
AO Itabaiana Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25 | AO Itabai… vs Falcon | 0-1 |
| May 09 | AO Itabai… vs Lagarto | 0-2 |
| May 06 | AO Itabai… vs Lagarto | 2-0 |
| May 01 | AO Itabai… vs Lagarto | 1-1 |
| Mar 28 | AO Itabai… vs Dorense | 0-0 |
| Mar 24 | AO Itabai… vs Lagarto | 0-2 |
| Feb 24 | AO Itabai… vs Dorense | 0-0 |
| Aug 02 | AO Itabai… vs Sergipe | 1-4 |
| Jul 30 | AO Itabai… vs Sergipe | 2-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Lagarto in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 09, 2021 | AO Itabaiana | 0 - 2 | Lagarto | Sergipano |
| May 06, 2021 | Lagarto | 2 - 0 | AO Itabaiana | Sergipano |
| May 01, 2021 | AO Itabaiana | 1 - 1 | Lagarto | Sergipano |
| Mar 24, 2021 | Lagarto | 0 - 2 | AO Itabaiana | Sergipano |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Lagarto to win (41% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Lagarto Power
0
AO Itabaiana Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
3
Lagarto Position-1
Position Gap2
AO Itabaiana Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.