AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Sergipano May 09, 2021

AO Itabaiana

Home
VS
19:00

Lagarto

Away
AI Predictions 43.7% Confidence
AO Itabaiana Win
43.7%
Draw
25.3%
Lagarto Win
31.1%
Home Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 59%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.83 - 1.08
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AO Itabaiana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Lagarto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (16%) 0-0 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 0-2 (9%) 1-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Under 2.5 Goals 70%
AO Itabaiana Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 06 AO Itabaiā€¦ vs Lagarto 2-0
May 01 AO Itabaiā€¦ vs Lagarto 1-1
Mar 28 AO Itabaiā€¦ vs Dorense 0-0
Mar 24 AO Itabaiā€¦ vs Lagarto 0-2
Feb 24 AO Itabaiā€¦ vs Dorense 0-0
Aug 02 AO Itabaiā€¦ vs Sergipe 1-4
Jul 30 AO Itabaiā€¦ vs Sergipe 2-1
Lagarto Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 06 Lagarto vs AO Itabaiā€¦ 2-0
May 01 Lagarto vs AO Itabaiā€¦ 1-1
Mar 24 Lagarto vs AO Itabaiā€¦ 0-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 06, 2021 Lagarto 2 - 0 AO Itabaiana Sergipano
May 01, 2021 AO Itabaiana 1 - 1 Lagarto Sergipano
Mar 24, 2021 Lagarto 0 - 2 AO Itabaiana Sergipano
Final Verdict

STANDARD: AO Itabaiana to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AO Itabaiana Power 0
Lagarto Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

AO Itabaiana Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Lagarto Position
Home Win Rate: 75%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.