AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Sergipano May 06, 2021

Lagarto

Home
VS
20:00

AO Itabaiana

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Lagarto Win
38.0%
Draw
26.4%
AO Itabaiana Win
35.6%
Home Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.64 - 0.93
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.9
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lagarto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
AO Itabaiana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (8%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Lagarto Form 5.0%
Date Match Result
May 01 Lagarto vs AO Itabaiā€¦ 1-1
Mar 24 Lagarto vs AO Itabaiā€¦ 0-2
AO Itabaiana Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 01 AO Itabaiā€¦ vs Lagarto 1-1
Mar 28 AO Itabaiā€¦ vs Dorense 0-0
Mar 24 AO Itabaiā€¦ vs Lagarto 0-2
Feb 24 AO Itabaiā€¦ vs Dorense 0-0
Aug 02 AO Itabaiā€¦ vs Sergipe 1-4
Jul 30 AO Itabaiā€¦ vs Sergipe 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 01, 2021 AO Itabaiana 1 - 1 Lagarto Sergipano
Mar 24, 2021 Lagarto 0 - 2 AO Itabaiana Sergipano
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Lagarto to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lagarto Power 0
AO Itabaiana Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Lagarto Position

-1

Position Gap

2

AO Itabaiana Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.