AI Match Insights

Sergipano Mar 24, 2021

Lagarto

Home
VS
19:00

AO Itabaiana

Away
AI Predictions 41.7% Confidence
Lagarto Win
41.7%
Draw
25.7%
AO Itabaiana Win
32.7%
Home Win (42% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 1.64 - 0.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.5
Score Prediction Analysis
Lagarto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
AO Itabaiana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 2-0 (16%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
Lagarto Form 50%

No recent form data available

AO Itabaiana Form 3.3%
Date Match Result
Feb 24 AO Itabai… vs Dorense 0-0
Aug 02 AO Itabai… vs Sergipe 1-4
Jul 30 AO Itabai… vs Sergipe 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Lagarto to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lagarto Power 0
AO Itabaiana Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Lagarto Position

-1

Position Gap

2

AO Itabaiana Position

Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.