AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Alagoano Jan 16, 2025

ASA

Home
VS
23:00

CRB

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
ASA Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
CRB Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 52%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 2.11 - 0.55
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.6
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
ASA Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
CRB Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 1-0 (15%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
ASA Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 12 ASA vs Coruripe 0-0
Dec 15 ASA vs CSA 0-1
Apr 06 ASA vs CRB 3-1
Mar 30 ASA vs CRB 0-1
Mar 17 ASA vs CSE 2-0
Mar 13 ASA vs CSE 3-0
Mar 10 ASA vs CSE 1-1
Mar 06 ASA vs Cruzeiro … 0-0
Mar 02 ASA vs CRB 0-2
Feb 24 ASA vs Murici FC 2-2
CRB Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 24 CRB vs Operário-… 1-1
Nov 17 CRB vs Santos 0-2
Nov 09 CRB vs Goiás 0-1
Nov 05 CRB vs Ituano 1-2
Oct 28 CRB vs Corinthia… 2-1
Sep 04 CRB vs Vila Nova 1-0
Aug 07 CRB vs Atletico-… 3-0
Aug 04 CRB vs Operário-… 2-0
Jul 31 CRB vs Atletico-… 2-2
May 24 CRB vs Ceará 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • ASA struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 06, 2024 CRB 3 - 1 ASA Alagoano
Mar 30, 2024 ASA 0 - 1 CRB Alagoano
Mar 02, 2024 CRB 0 - 2 ASA Alagoano
Apr 08, 2023 CRB 1 - 0 ASA Alagoano
Apr 01, 2023 ASA 0 - 2 CRB Alagoano
Jan 31, 2023 ASA 1 - 2 CRB Alagoano
Final Verdict

STANDARD: ASA to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
ASA Power 0
CRB Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

ASA Position

+1

Position Gap

2

CRB Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.