AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Gaúcho - 1 Mar 02, 2025

Internacional

Home
VS
00:30

Caxias

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Internacional Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Caxias Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 82%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.33 - 0.40
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.4
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Internacional Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Caxias Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
67%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 0-0 (18%) 2-0 (16%) 1-1 (9%) 0-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 24%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Under 2.5 Goals 75%
Internacional Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 22 Internaci… vs Caxias 0-2
Feb 15 Internaci… vs Monsoon 2-0
Feb 09 Internaci… vs Remo 1-1
Dec 08 Internaci… vs Fortaleza 3-0
Dec 05 Internaci… vs Botafogo 0-1
Dec 01 Internaci… vs Flamengo 3-2
Nov 24 Internaci… vs RB Bragan… 4-1
Nov 21 Internaci… vs Vasco DA … 0-1
Nov 04 Internaci… vs Juventude… 3-1
Oct 30 Internaci… vs Flamengo 1-1
Caxias Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 26 Caxias vs Dourados … 0-2
Feb 22 Caxias vs Internaci… 0-2
Feb 15 Caxias vs São José 1-1
Feb 12 Caxias vs Guaraní d… 0-0
Feb 08 Caxias vs São Luiz 1-0
Feb 05 Caxias vs Avenida 0-1
Feb 01 Caxias vs Juventude 0-2
Aug 24 Caxias vs CSA 2-1
Aug 18 Caxias vs ABC 2-0
Aug 07 Caxias vs Ypiranga-… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 22, 2025 Caxias 0 - 2 Internacional Gaúcho - 1
Feb 03, 2024 Internacional 2 - 0 Caxias Gaúcho - 1
Mar 26, 2023 Internacional 1 - 1 Caxias Gaúcho - 1
Mar 18, 2023 Caxias 1 - 1 Internacional Gaúcho - 1
Feb 09, 2023 Internacional 2 - 2 Caxias Gaúcho - 1
Feb 12, 2022 Caxias 0 - 1 Internacional Gaúcho - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Internacional to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Internacional Power 0
Caxias Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Internacional Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Caxias Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.