AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Gaúcho - 1 Feb 22, 2025

Caxias

Home
VS
19:30

Internacional

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Caxias Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Internacional Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.53 - 0.33
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.3
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Caxias Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Internacional Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
72%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (18%) 3-0 (15%) 1-0 (14%) 2-1 (6%) 0-0 (6%) 3-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%
Caxias Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 15 Caxias vs São José 1-1
Feb 12 Caxias vs Guaraní d… 0-0
Feb 08 Caxias vs São Luiz 1-0
Feb 05 Caxias vs Avenida 0-1
Feb 01 Caxias vs Juventude 0-2
Aug 24 Caxias vs CSA 2-1
Aug 18 Caxias vs ABC 2-0
Aug 07 Caxias vs Ypiranga-… 1-0
Jul 28 Caxias vs São José 1-0
Mar 08 Caxias vs São José 1-0
Internacional Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 15 Internaci… vs Monsoon 2-0
Feb 09 Internaci… vs Remo 1-1
Dec 08 Internaci… vs Fortaleza 3-0
Dec 05 Internaci… vs Botafogo 0-1
Dec 01 Internaci… vs Flamengo 3-2
Nov 24 Internaci… vs RB Bragan… 4-1
Nov 21 Internaci… vs Vasco DA … 0-1
Nov 04 Internaci… vs Juventude… 3-1
Oct 30 Internaci… vs Flamengo 1-1
Oct 28 Internaci… vs Juventude… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Internacional struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 03, 2024 Internacional 2 - 0 Caxias Gaúcho - 1
Mar 26, 2023 Internacional 1 - 1 Caxias Gaúcho - 1
Mar 18, 2023 Caxias 1 - 1 Internacional Gaúcho - 1
Feb 09, 2023 Internacional 2 - 2 Caxias Gaúcho - 1
Feb 12, 2022 Caxias 0 - 1 Internacional Gaúcho - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Caxias to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Caxias Power 0
Internacional Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Caxias Position

-1

Position Gap

1

Internacional Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 67%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.