AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Gaúcho - 1 Feb 03, 2024

Internacional

Home
VS
19:30

Caxias

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Internacional Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Caxias Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 82%
Market 50%
Combined: 66% Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 4.50 - 0.78
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.8
Score Prediction Analysis
Internacional Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Caxias Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (2%) 1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Internacional Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 27 Internaci… vs Ypiranga-… 3-0
Dec 07 Internaci… vs Botafogo 3-1
Dec 02 Internaci… vs Corinthia… 1-2
Nov 29 Internaci… vs Cuiabá 0-2
Nov 26 Internaci… vs RB Bragan… 1-0
Oct 27 Internaci… vs Vasco DA … 1-2
Oct 22 Internaci… vs Santos 7-1
Oct 08 Internaci… vs Remo 3-2
Sep 14 Internaci… vs São Paulo… 2-1
Aug 26 Internaci… vs Flamengo 0-0
Caxias Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 27 Caxias vs São Luiz 2-2
Jan 24 Caxias vs Ypiranga-… 2-2
Mar 26 Caxias vs Internaci… 1-1
Mar 18 Caxias vs Internaci… 1-1
Mar 11 Caxias vs Avenida 0-1
Mar 04 Caxias vs Ypiranga-… 3-0
Feb 27 Caxias vs Juventude 2-2
Feb 12 Caxias vs São Luiz 3-1
Feb 09 Caxias vs Internaci… 2-2
Jan 25 Caxias vs São José 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Internacional in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 26, 2023 Internacional 1 - 1 Caxias Gaúcho - 1
Mar 18, 2023 Caxias 1 - 1 Internacional Gaúcho - 1
Feb 09, 2023 Internacional 2 - 2 Caxias Gaúcho - 1
Feb 12, 2022 Caxias 0 - 1 Internacional Gaúcho - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Internacional to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Internacional Power 0
Caxias Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Internacional Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Caxias Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.