AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Gaúcho - 1 Mar 26, 2023

Internacional

Home
VS
21:00

Caxias

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Internacional Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Caxias Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 82%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 2.32 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.4
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Internacional Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Caxias Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 1-0 (15%) 3-0 (13%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 0-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Internacional Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 18 Internaci… vs Caxias 1-1
Feb 09 Internaci… vs Caxias 2-2
Feb 05 Internaci… vs Novo Hamb… 0-0
Feb 02 Internaci… vs Ypiranga-… 3-0
Nov 09 Internaci… vs São Paulo… 0-1
Oct 27 Internaci… vs Ceará 2-1
Oct 06 Internaci… vs Flamengo 0-0
Oct 01 Internaci… vs Santos 1-0
Sep 29 Internaci… vs RB Bragan… 0-0
Jul 20 Internaci… vs São Paulo… 3-3
Caxias Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 18 Caxias vs Internaci… 1-1
Mar 11 Caxias vs Avenida 0-1
Mar 04 Caxias vs Ypiranga-… 3-0
Feb 27 Caxias vs Juventude 2-2
Feb 12 Caxias vs São Luiz 3-1
Feb 09 Caxias vs Internaci… 2-2
Jan 25 Caxias vs São José 1-1
Mar 05 Caxias vs Ypiranga-… 2-0
Feb 26 Caxias vs Juventude 0-0
Feb 16 Caxias vs São Luiz 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Caxias in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 18, 2023 Caxias 1 - 1 Internacional Gaúcho - 1
Feb 09, 2023 Internacional 2 - 2 Caxias Gaúcho - 1
Feb 12, 2022 Caxias 0 - 1 Internacional Gaúcho - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Internacional to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Internacional Power 0
Caxias Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Internacional Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Caxias Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.