AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Gaúcho - 1 Feb 12, 2022

Caxias

Home
VS
19:30

Internacional

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Caxias Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Internacional Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 1.60 - 0.56
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.6
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Caxias Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Internacional Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (15%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Caxias Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 10 Caxias vs Guaraní d… 1-1
Jan 30 Caxias vs São José 1-1
Internacional Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 10 Internaci… vs Novo Hamb… 1-1
Feb 05 Internaci… vs Ypiranga-… 3-1
Dec 10 Internaci… vs RB Bragan… 1-0
Nov 28 Internaci… vs Santos 1-1
Oct 31 Internaci… vs São Paulo… 1-0
Oct 21 Internaci… vs RB Bragan… 1-1
Oct 06 Internaci… vs Ceará 0-0
Aug 22 Internaci… vs Santos 2-2
Jul 08 Internaci… vs São Paulo… 0-2
Jun 20 Internaci… vs Ceará 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Internacional struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Caxias to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Caxias Power 0
Internacional Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Caxias Position

-1

Position Gap

1

Internacional Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 67%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.