AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Brasiliense Feb 01, 2025

Sobradinho EC

Home
VS
19:00

Capital Brasilia

Away
AI Predictions 46.0% Confidence
Sobradinho EC Win
25.0%
Draw
29.0%
Capital Brasilia Win
46.0%
Away Win (46% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 56%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 1.54 - 0.93
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.9
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sobradinho EC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Capital Brasilia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Under 2.5 Goals 56%
Sobradinho EC Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 29 Sobradinh… vs Uberlândia 1-0
Jan 26 Sobradinh… vs Paranoá 0-1
Capital Brasilia Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 29 Capital B… vs Real FC 2-0
Jan 26 Capital B… vs Samambaia… 1-0
Feb 14 Capital B… vs Samambaia… 0-1
Jan 28 Capital B… vs Real FC 0-3
Jan 14 Capital B… vs Paranoá 0-0
Feb 17 Capital B… vs Paranoá 1-1
Feb 11 Capital B… vs Real FC 2-1
Jan 29 Capital B… vs Samambaia… 1-2
Jan 26 Capital B… vs Paranoá 2-1
Mar 30 Capital B… vs Samambaia… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Capital Brasilia in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sobradinho EC to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sobradinho EC Power 0
Capital Brasilia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Sobradinho EC Position

+4

Position Gap

6

Capital Brasilia Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.