AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Tweede Divisie Oct 14, 2023

Almere City II

Home
VS
13:30

Kozakken Boys

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Almere City II Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Kozakken Boys Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.92 - 0.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.5 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Almere City II Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Kozakken Boys Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (17%) 3-0 (11%) 0-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%
Almere City II Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 16 Almere Ci… vs HHC 1-0
Sep 02 Almere Ci… vs Excelsior… 5-3
Kozakken Boys Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 30 Kozakken … vs HHC 0-0
Sep 23 Kozakken … vs ACV 0-0
Sep 16 Kozakken … vs Excelsior… 0-0
Sep 02 Kozakken … vs AFC Amste… 2-1
May 06 Kozakken … vs HHC 1-4
Apr 08 Kozakken … vs Ijsselmee… 2-1
Mar 25 Kozakken … vs AFC Amste… 1-0
Mar 04 Kozakken … vs Quick Boys 4-0
Dec 10 Kozakken … vs Excelsior… 0-1
Nov 12 Kozakken … vs HHC 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Almere City II to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Almere City II Power 0
Kozakken Boys Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Almere City II Position

+6

Position Gap

12

Kozakken Boys Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 44%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.