AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Oct 21, 2023

Atlas

Home
VS
01:00

Mazatlán FC

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Atlas Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Mazatlán FC Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
CS68+S65 (82.8%) S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) CS68+S70+DR<25 (80.0%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) CS68+M80 (75.0%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 93%
Market 50%
Combined: 69% Draw Risk: 11%
xG: 4.50 - 0.77
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.8 Position gap: 15 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Atlas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Mazatlán FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (2%) 1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Atlas Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 08 Atlas vs Guadalaja… 4-1
Sep 29 Atlas vs Puebla 2-3
Jul 02 Atlas vs Cruz Azul 2-0
May 06 Atlas vs Cruz Azul 0-1
Apr 22 Atlas vs Necaxa 1-3
Mar 18 Atlas vs Puebla 0-4
Feb 23 Atlas vs Cruz Azul 1-0
Jan 13 Atlas vs Mazatlán … 2-1
Dec 21 Atlas vs Mazatlán … 2-1
Oct 02 Atlas vs Necaxa 1-0
Mazatlán FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 27 Mazatlán … vs Guadalaja… 1-3
Sep 02 Mazatlán … vs FC Juarez 3-1
Aug 23 Mazatlán … vs Puebla 1-0
Jul 26 Mazatlán … vs FC Juarez 1-1
Jul 15 Mazatlán … vs Monterrey 0-3
Apr 30 Mazatlán … vs Guadalaja… 4-1
Apr 22 Mazatlán … vs Monterrey 0-2
Feb 11 Mazatlán … vs Puebla 3-1
Feb 04 Mazatlán … vs FC Juarez 2-3
Jan 13 Mazatlán … vs Atlas 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Atlas in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 13, 2023 Atlas 2 - 1 Mazatlán FC Liga MX
Dec 21, 2022 Atlas 2 - 1 Mazatlán FC Copa por México
Sep 08, 2022 Mazatlán FC 1 - 0 Atlas Liga MX
Apr 15, 2022 Atlas 1 - 2 Mazatlán FC Liga MX
Final Verdict

MASTER: Atlas to win (83% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 15
Atlas Power 0
Mazatlán FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Atlas Position

+15

Position Gap

18

Mazatlán FC Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.