AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Jan 13, 2023

Atlas

Home
VS
03:00

Mazatlán FC

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Atlas Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Mazatlán FC Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 93%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 1.73 - 0.71
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.7 Position gap: 15 places
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Atlas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Mazatlán FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (9%) 3-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Under 2.5 Goals 57%
Atlas Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 21 Atlas vs Mazatlán … 2-1
Oct 02 Atlas vs Necaxa 1-0
Sep 08 Atlas vs Mazatlán … 1-0
Aug 21 Atlas vs Puebla 1-1
Jul 16 Atlas vs Cruz Azul 3-2
Jun 27 Atlas vs Cruz Azul 2-2
Apr 15 Atlas vs Mazatlán … 1-2
Apr 08 Atlas vs Necaxa 2-1
Apr 03 Atlas vs Cruz Azul 1-0
Feb 12 Atlas vs Puebla 1-1
Mazatlán FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 21 Mazatlán … vs Atlas 2-1
Dec 17 Mazatlán … vs Guadalaja… 1-0
Sep 08 Mazatlán … vs Atlas 1-0
Sep 04 Mazatlán … vs Monterrey 0-0
Aug 21 Mazatlán … vs FC Juarez 1-1
Aug 06 Mazatlán … vs Guadalaja… 2-1
Jul 02 Mazatlán … vs Puebla 2-4
May 08 Mazatlán … vs Puebla 2-2
Apr 30 Mazatlán … vs Puebla 2-1
Apr 23 Mazatlán … vs FC Juarez 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Atlas in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 21, 2022 Atlas 2 - 1 Mazatlán FC Copa por México
Sep 08, 2022 Mazatlán FC 1 - 0 Atlas Liga MX
Apr 15, 2022 Atlas 1 - 2 Mazatlán FC Liga MX
Final Verdict

MASTER: Atlas to win (83% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 15
Atlas Power 0
Mazatlán FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Atlas Position

+15

Position Gap

18

Mazatlán FC Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.