AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de Expansión MX Dec 05, 2021

Dorados

Home
VS
01:05

Tepatitlán

Away
AI Predictions 71.0% Confidence
Dorados Win
71.0%
Draw
19.8%
Tepatitlán Win
9.2%
Home Win (71% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 77%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 1.92 - 1.11
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 1.1
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dorados Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Tepatitlán Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Dorados Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 02 Dorados vs Tepatitlán 0-1
Oct 28 Dorados vs Venados FC 3-0
Sep 30 Dorados vs Mineros d… 1-4
Sep 03 Dorados vs Cancún 2-0
Feb 21 Dorados vs Venados FC 0-0
Feb 10 Dorados vs Cancún 1-0
Jan 13 Dorados vs Mineros d… 1-1
Tepatitlán Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 02 Tepatitlán vs Dorados 0-1
Nov 07 Tepatitlán vs Atlante FC 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Dorados in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 02, 2021 Tepatitlán 0 - 1 Dorados Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dorados Power 0
Tepatitlán Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Dorados Position

-5

Position Gap

2

Tepatitlán Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.