AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Aug 04, 2024

Tlaxcala

Home
VS
01:00

Correcaminos Uat

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Tlaxcala Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Correcaminos Uat Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.57 - 0.62
Key Insights
Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tlaxcala Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Correcaminos Uat Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (30%) 0-1 (19%) 1-0 (17%) 1-1 (11%) 0-2 (6%) 2-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 12%
Under 2.5 Goals 88%
Tlaxcala Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 11 Tlaxcala vs Mineros d… 0-2
Apr 05 Tlaxcala vs Tepatitlán 1-1
Mar 30 Tlaxcala vs Celaya 1-1
Mar 24 Tlaxcala vs Leones Ne… 0-4
Mar 01 Tlaxcala vs Correcami… 1-1
Feb 22 Tlaxcala vs Venados FC 1-0
Jan 11 Tlaxcala vs CancĂşn 1-0
Nov 01 Tlaxcala vs Correcami… 0-1
Sep 07 Tlaxcala vs CancĂşn 1-2
Aug 05 Tlaxcala vs Mineros d… 5-1
Correcaminos Uat Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 12 Correcami… vs Atlante FC 4-0
Mar 28 Correcami… vs Cimarrones 0-2
Mar 24 Correcami… vs Venados FC 2-1
Mar 18 Correcami… vs CA La Paz 1-1
Mar 01 Correcami… vs Tlaxcala 1-1
Feb 28 Correcami… vs Leones Ne… 1-1
Feb 21 Correcami… vs Monarcas 3-1
Nov 10 Correcami… vs CA La Paz 0-1
Nov 01 Correcami… vs Tlaxcala 0-1
Oct 27 Correcami… vs CA La Paz 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 01, 2024 Correcaminos Uat 1 - 1 Tlaxcala Liga de Expans…
Nov 01, 2023 Tlaxcala 0 - 1 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Apr 21, 2023 Tlaxcala 0 - 0 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Aug 24, 2022 Correcaminos Uat 0 - 2 Tlaxcala Liga de Expans…
Mar 24, 2022 Tlaxcala 4 - 0 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Sep 02, 2021 Correcaminos Uat 1 - 1 Tlaxcala Liga de Expans…
Mar 18, 2021 Correcaminos Uat 0 - 1 Tlaxcala Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Tlaxcala to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tlaxcala Power 0
Correcaminos Uat Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Tlaxcala Position

+6

Position Gap

12

Correcaminos Uat Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.