AI Match Insights

Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Mar 01, 2024

Correcaminos Uat

Home
VS
23:00

Tlaxcala

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Correcaminos Uat Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Tlaxcala Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.01 - 0.88
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.9
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Correcaminos Uat Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Tlaxcala Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
Correcaminos Uat Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 28 Correcami… vs Leones Ne… 1-1
Feb 21 Correcami… vs Monarcas 3-1
Nov 10 Correcami… vs CA La Paz 0-1
Nov 01 Correcami… vs Tlaxcala 0-1
Oct 27 Correcami… vs CA La Paz 1-0
Sep 21 Correcami… vs Leones Ne… 1-2
Aug 13 Correcami… vs Monarcas 2-0
Apr 21 Correcami… vs Tlaxcala 0-0
Mar 08 Correcami… vs CA La Paz 4-1
Feb 14 Correcami… vs Monarcas 1-1
Tlaxcala Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 22 Tlaxcala vs Venados FC 1-0
Jan 11 Tlaxcala vs CancĂşn 1-0
Nov 01 Tlaxcala vs Correcami… 0-1
Sep 07 Tlaxcala vs CancĂşn 1-2
Aug 05 Tlaxcala vs Mineros d… 5-1
Apr 21 Tlaxcala vs Correcami… 0-0
Mar 08 Tlaxcala vs CancĂşn 1-0
Jan 17 Tlaxcala vs Mineros d… 1-2
Sep 14 Tlaxcala vs Mineros d… 1-1
Aug 24 Tlaxcala vs Correcami… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Correcaminos Uat in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Tlaxcala in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 01, 2023 Tlaxcala 0 - 1 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Apr 21, 2023 Tlaxcala 0 - 0 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Aug 24, 2022 Correcaminos Uat 0 - 2 Tlaxcala Liga de Expans…
Mar 24, 2022 Tlaxcala 4 - 0 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Sep 02, 2021 Correcaminos Uat 1 - 1 Tlaxcala Liga de Expans…
Mar 18, 2021 Correcaminos Uat 0 - 1 Tlaxcala Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Correcaminos Uat Power 0
Tlaxcala Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Correcaminos Uat Position

-6

Position Gap

6

Tlaxcala Position

Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.