AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Apr 21, 2023

Tlaxcala

Home
VS
23:00

Correcaminos Uat

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Tlaxcala Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Correcaminos Uat Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 3.88 - 0.35
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.9 vs 0.3 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tlaxcala Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Correcaminos Uat Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (11%) 1-0 (6%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Tlaxcala Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 08 Tlaxcala vs CancĂşn 1-0
Jan 17 Tlaxcala vs Mineros d… 1-2
Sep 14 Tlaxcala vs Mineros d… 1-1
Aug 24 Tlaxcala vs Correcami… 0-2
Jul 20 Tlaxcala vs CancĂşn 1-0
Apr 20 Tlaxcala vs Mineros d… 2-0
Apr 07 Tlaxcala vs CancĂşn 1-0
Mar 28 Tlaxcala vs Mineros d… 3-4
Mar 24 Tlaxcala vs Correcami… 4-0
Nov 02 Tlaxcala vs CancĂşn 3-1
Correcaminos Uat Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 08 Correcami… vs CA La Paz 4-1
Feb 14 Correcami… vs Monarcas 1-1
Feb 03 Correcami… vs Leones Ne… 3-1
Oct 06 Correcami… vs CA La Paz 4-2
Aug 24 Correcami… vs Tlaxcala 0-2
Aug 05 Correcami… vs Monarcas 1-0
Jul 22 Correcami… vs Leones Ne… 0-0
Mar 24 Correcami… vs Tlaxcala 4-0
Feb 09 Correcami… vs Monarcas 1-1
Jan 27 Correcami… vs Leones Ne… 0-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 24, 2022 Correcaminos Uat 0 - 2 Tlaxcala Liga de Expans…
Mar 24, 2022 Tlaxcala 4 - 0 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Sep 02, 2021 Correcaminos Uat 1 - 1 Tlaxcala Liga de Expans…
Mar 18, 2021 Correcaminos Uat 0 - 1 Tlaxcala Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Tlaxcala to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tlaxcala Power 0
Correcaminos Uat Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Tlaxcala Position

+6

Position Gap

12

Correcaminos Uat Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.