AI Match Insights

Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Aug 24, 2022

Correcaminos Uat

Home
VS
00:05

Tlaxcala

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Correcaminos Uat Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Tlaxcala Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.28 - 0.74
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.7
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Correcaminos Uat Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Tlaxcala Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (13%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Under 2.5 Goals 67%
Correcaminos Uat Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 05 Correcami… vs Monarcas 1-0
Jul 22 Correcami… vs Leones Ne… 0-0
Mar 24 Correcami… vs Tlaxcala 4-0
Feb 09 Correcami… vs Monarcas 1-1
Jan 27 Correcami… vs Leones Ne… 0-3
Nov 24 Correcami… vs Leones Ne… 2-1
Sep 02 Correcami… vs Tlaxcala 1-1
Aug 27 Correcami… vs Monarcas 2-1
Aug 19 Correcami… vs Leones Ne… 2-2
Mar 18 Correcami… vs Tlaxcala 0-1
Tlaxcala Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 20 Tlaxcala vs CancĂşn 1-0
Apr 20 Tlaxcala vs Mineros d… 2-0
Apr 07 Tlaxcala vs CancĂşn 1-0
Mar 28 Tlaxcala vs Mineros d… 3-4
Mar 24 Tlaxcala vs Correcami… 4-0
Nov 02 Tlaxcala vs CancĂşn 3-1
Sep 02 Tlaxcala vs Correcami… 1-1
Mar 31 Tlaxcala vs CancĂşn 1-0
Mar 18 Tlaxcala vs Correcami… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tlaxcala struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 24, 2022 Tlaxcala 4 - 0 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Sep 02, 2021 Correcaminos Uat 1 - 1 Tlaxcala Liga de Expans…
Mar 18, 2021 Correcaminos Uat 0 - 1 Tlaxcala Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Correcaminos Uat Power 0
Tlaxcala Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Correcaminos Uat Position

-6

Position Gap

6

Tlaxcala Position

Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.