AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de ExpansiĆ³n MX Mar 24, 2022

Tlaxcala

Home
VS
23:00

Correcaminos Uat

Away
AI Predictions 60.0% Confidence
Tlaxcala Win
60.0%
Draw
22.0%
Correcaminos Uat Win
18.0%
Home Win (60% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 2.88 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 0.4 Position gap: 6 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Tlaxcala Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Correcaminos Uat Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 3-0 (14%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Tlaxcala Form 17.5%
Date Match Result
Nov 02 Tlaxcala vs CancĆŗn 3-1
Sep 02 Tlaxcala vs Correcamiā€¦ 1-1
Mar 31 Tlaxcala vs CancĆŗn 1-0
Mar 18 Tlaxcala vs Correcamiā€¦ 0-1
Correcaminos Uat Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 09 Correcamiā€¦ vs Monarcas 1-1
Jan 27 Correcamiā€¦ vs Leones Neā€¦ 0-3
Nov 24 Correcamiā€¦ vs Leones Neā€¦ 2-1
Sep 02 Correcamiā€¦ vs Tlaxcala 1-1
Aug 27 Correcamiā€¦ vs Monarcas 2-1
Aug 19 Correcamiā€¦ vs Leones Neā€¦ 2-2
Mar 18 Correcamiā€¦ vs Tlaxcala 0-1
Feb 06 Correcamiā€¦ vs Monarcas 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tlaxcala in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 02, 2021 Correcaminos Uat 1 - 1 Tlaxcala Liga de Expansā€¦
Mar 18, 2021 Correcaminos Uat 0 - 1 Tlaxcala Liga de Expansā€¦
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Tlaxcala to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tlaxcala Power 0
Correcaminos Uat Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Tlaxcala Position

+6

Position Gap

12

Correcaminos Uat Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.