AI Match Insights

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Primera Division Feb 18, 2024

Alianza

Home
VS
01:00

Platense

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Alianza Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Platense Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 66%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.41 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.2 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Alianza Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Platense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (28%) 0-0 (20%) 2-0 (20%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Under 2.5 Goals 78%
Alianza Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 07 Alianza vs Kalaâ Spo… 0-2
Jan 28 Alianza vs Firpo 1-3
Jan 27 Alianza vs Kalaâ Spo… 2-2
Jan 24 Alianza vs Isidro Me… 0-0
Jan 06 Alianza vs Tunisia 0-0
Jan 04 Alianza vs Juventus 6-1
Dec 27 Alianza vs Jendouba … 1-0
Dec 16 Alianza vs Korba 0-0
Nov 08 Alianza vs Platense 0-2
Oct 07 Alianza vs Kalaâ Spo… 2-0
Platense Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 08 Platense vs FAS 0-0
Jan 25 Platense vs Municipal… 5-0
Nov 08 Platense vs Alianza 0-2
Nov 05 Platense vs FAS 2-0
Oct 18 Platense vs Águila 4-0
Oct 04 Platense vs FAS 0-3
Sep 15 Platense vs Águila 2-3
Sep 07 Platense vs Alianza 0-0
Apr 09 Platense vs FAS 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Platense struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 08, 2023 Platense 0 - 2 Alianza Primera Divisi…
Sep 07, 2023 Alianza 0 - 0 Platense Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Alianza to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Alianza Power 0
Platense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Alianza Position

+5

Position Gap

8

Platense Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.