AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera Division Nov 08, 2023

Platense

Home
VS
21:15

Alianza

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Platense Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Alianza Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 2.27 - 0.67
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.7
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Platense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Alianza Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 1-0 (12%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
Platense Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 05 Platense vs FAS 2-0
Oct 18 Platense vs Águila 4-0
Oct 04 Platense vs FAS 0-3
Sep 15 Platense vs Águila 2-3
Sep 07 Platense vs Alianza 0-0
Apr 09 Platense vs FAS 0-3
Alianza Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 07 Alianza vs Kalaâ Spo… 2-0
Sep 07 Alianza vs Platense 0-0
Jan 16 Alianza vs Tunisia 4-0
Nov 30 Alianza vs Tunisia 5-1
Oct 10 Alianza vs Tunisia 0-0
Oct 07 Alianza vs Tunisia 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Platense struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 07, 2023 Alianza 0 - 0 Platense Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Platense Power 0
Alianza Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Platense Position

-5

Position Gap

3

Alianza Position
Home Win Rate: 27%
Away Win Rate: 73%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.