AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera Division Sep 07, 2023

Alianza

Home
VS
01:00

Platense

Away
AI Predictions 47.5% Confidence
Alianza Win
47.5%
Draw
24.5%
Platense Win
28.0%
Home Win (48% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 31%
Standings 66%
Market 50%
Combined: 38% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 0.30 - 1.25
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Alianza Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Platense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (27%) 0-0 (21%) 0-2 (17%) 1-1 (8%) 0-3 (7%) 1-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Under 2.5 Goals 80%
Alianza Form 2.5%
Date Match Result
Jan 16 Alianza vs Tunisia 4-0
Nov 30 Alianza vs Tunisia 5-1
Oct 10 Alianza vs Tunisia 0-0
Oct 07 Alianza vs Tunisia 3-0
Platense Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 09 Platense vs FAS 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Alianza struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Alianza to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Alianza Power 0
Platense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Alianza Position

+5

Position Gap

8

Platense Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.