AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National Soccer League Apr 23, 2022

Musanze

Home
VS
13:00

Gicumbi

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Musanze Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Gicumbi Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.68 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.2 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Musanze Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Gicumbi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (15%) 0-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Musanze Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 14 Musanze vs Gorilla 3-2
Feb 16 Musanze vs APR 1-0
Jan 20 Musanze vs Gasogi Un… 1-0
Jan 15 Musanze vs Kiyovu Sp… 0-0
Dec 28 Musanze vs Etincelles 1-1
Dec 19 Musanze vs Gicumbi 0-0
Nov 30 Musanze vs Gorilla 2-1
Nov 03 Musanze vs APR 2-0
Jun 28 Musanze vs Etincelles 3-1
Jun 17 Musanze vs Gorilla 2-0
Gicumbi Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 16 Gicumbi vs Marines 2-1
Mar 20 Gicumbi vs Police 1-1
Mar 14 Gicumbi vs AS Kigali 1-0
Feb 27 Gicumbi vs Kiyovu Sp… 6-0
Jan 24 Gicumbi vs Rutsiro 0-0
Jan 20 Gicumbi vs Mukura 1-1
Dec 28 Gicumbi vs Kiyovu Sp… 0-0
Dec 19 Gicumbi vs Musanze 0-0
Dec 11 Gicumbi vs Marines 0-1
Dec 04 Gicumbi vs Police 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Gicumbi struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 19, 2021 Gicumbi 0 - 0 Musanze National Socce…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Musanze to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Musanze Power 0
Gicumbi Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Musanze Position

+5

Position Gap

11

Gicumbi Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.