AI Match Insights
HNL Feb 16, 2025
NK Varaždin
HomeVS
14:00
NK Slaven Belupo
AwayAI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
NK Varaždin Win
Draw
NK Slaven Belupo Win
Home Win
(45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
60%
Market
50%
Combined: 49%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.14 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
NK Varaždin Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
NK Slaven Belupo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (30%)
0-0 (26%)
2-0 (17%)
3-0 (6%)
1-1 (6%)
0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
15%
Under 2.5 Goals
85%
NK Varaždin Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 08 | NK Varaždā¦ vs HNK Hajduā¦ | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | NK Varaždā¦ vs HNK Rijeka | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | NK Varaždā¦ vs HNK Rijeka | 1-1 |
| Jan 18 | NK Varaždā¦ vs NK Lokomoā¦ | 3-2 |
| Jan 10 | NK Varaždā¦ vs NK Slavenā¦ | 1-0 |
| Dec 22 | NK Varaždā¦ vs Dinamo Zaā¦ | 3-2 |
| Dec 15 | NK Varaždā¦ vs HNK Rijeka | 0-0 |
| Dec 07 | NK Varaždā¦ vs Istra 1961 | 0-0 |
| Nov 23 | NK Varaždā¦ vs NK Lokomoā¦ | 1-1 |
| Nov 14 | NK Varaždā¦ vs HNK Rijeka | 1-1 |
NK Slaven Belupo Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10 | NK Slavenā¦ vs NK Varaždā¦ | 1-0 |
| Dec 22 | NK Slavenā¦ vs HNK Rijeka | 2-0 |
| Dec 13 | NK Slavenā¦ vs HNK Rijeka | 2-1 |
| Dec 06 | NK Slavenā¦ vs Dinamo Zaā¦ | 1-1 |
| Nov 22 | NK Slavenā¦ vs Istra 1961 | 2-3 |
| Nov 10 | NK Slavenā¦ vs NK Varaždā¦ | 1-1 |
| Oct 05 | NK Slavenā¦ vs HNK Rijeka | 0-0 |
| Sep 30 | NK Slavenā¦ vs HNK Rijeka | 2-1 |
| Sep 21 | NK Slavenā¦ vs Dinamo Zaā¦ | 4-1 |
| Aug 31 | NK Slavenā¦ vs Istra 1961 | 0-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
No specific factors identified for this match.
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025 | NK Varaždin | 1 - 0 | NK Slaven Belupo | Friendlies Cluā¦ |
| Nov 10, 2024 | NK Slaven Belupo | 1 - 1 | NK Varaždin | HNL |
| Aug 24, 2024 | NK Varaždin | 2 - 0 | NK Slaven Belupo | HNL |
| Apr 06, 2024 | NK Slaven Belupo | 0 - 1 | NK Varaždin | HNL |
| Jan 26, 2024 | NK Varaždin | 1 - 2 | NK Slaven Belupo | HNL |
| Oct 06, 2023 | NK Slaven Belupo | 3 - 2 | NK Varaždin | HNL |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
NK Varaždin Power
0
NK Slaven Belupo Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
4
NK Varaždin Position+2
Position Gap6
NK Slaven Belupo Position
Home Win Rate: 44%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.