AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Botola Pro Oct 19, 2024

Maghreb de Fès

Home
VS
15:00

Difaa El Jadida

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Maghreb de Fès Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Difaa El Jadida Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.57 - 1.70
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Maghreb de Fès Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Difaa El Jadida Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 1-2 (9%) 2-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 0-1 (6%) 1-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Maghreb de Fès Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 23 Maghreb d… vs FAR Rabat 0-2
Jun 14 Maghreb d… vs Olympique… 0-1
Jun 01 Maghreb d… vs Chabab Mo… 0-2
May 27 Maghreb d… vs Hassania … 2-2
May 11 Maghreb d… vs Moghreb T… 2-4
Apr 28 Maghreb d… vs Wydad Fès 1-1
Apr 21 Maghreb d… vs FAR Rabat 3-1
Apr 13 Maghreb d… vs Youssoufi… 0-1
Apr 04 Maghreb d… vs Fath Casa… 0-1
Mar 27 Maghreb d… vs Ittihad T… 2-2
Difaa El Jadida Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 06 Difaa El … vs Olympique… 1-2
Sep 28 Difaa El … vs Wydad AC 4-1
Jun 15 Difaa El … vs Olympique… 0-0
Jun 08 Difaa El … vs Kawkab Ma… 0-0
May 31 Difaa El … vs El Massira 1-1
May 26 Difaa El … vs AS Salé 5-0
May 20 Difaa El … vs Wydad Fès 3-4
May 11 Difaa El … vs Olympique… 2-0
Mar 28 Difaa El … vs Olympique… 2-1
Dec 17 Difaa El … vs Olympique… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 12, 2023 Maghreb de Fès 3 - 1 Difaa El Jadida Botola Pro
Oct 08, 2022 Difaa El Jadida 2 - 2 Maghreb de Fès Botola Pro
Apr 24, 2022 Difaa El Jadida 0 - 0 Maghreb de Fès Botola Pro
Oct 23, 2021 Maghreb de Fès 3 - 0 Difaa El Jadida Botola Pro
May 22, 2021 Maghreb de Fès 1 - 3 Difaa El Jadida Botola Pro
Dec 20, 2020 Difaa El Jadida 1 - 2 Maghreb de Fès Botola Pro
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Maghreb de Fès to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Maghreb de Fès Power 0
Difaa El Jadida Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Maghreb de Fès Position

+5

Position Gap

6

Difaa El Jadida Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.