AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Botola Pro Oct 23, 2021

Maghreb de Fès

Home
VS
17:15

Difaa El Jadida

Away
AI Predictions 53.5% Confidence
Maghreb de Fès Win
53.5%
Draw
23.3%
Difaa El Jadida Win
23.2%
Home Win (54% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 63%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 2.36 - 2.03
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Maghreb de Fès Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Difaa El Jadida Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-2 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-2 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Under 2.5 Goals 24%
Maghreb de Fès Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 24 Maghreb d… vs FAR Rabat 1-1
Sep 12 Maghreb d… vs Renaissan… 0-0
Jul 03 Maghreb d… vs FAR Rabat 0-1
May 22 Maghreb d… vs Difaa El … 1-3
May 16 Maghreb d… vs Renaissan… 2-0
Mar 02 Maghreb d… vs Renaissan… 4-4
Dec 20 Maghreb d… vs Difaa El … 1-2
Difaa El Jadida Form 5.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 09 Difaa El … vs Wydad AC 4-2
May 22 Difaa El … vs Maghreb d… 1-3
Dec 20 Difaa El … vs Maghreb d… 1-2
Dec 09 Difaa El … vs Wydad AC 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Difaa El Jadida struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 22, 2021 Maghreb de Fès 1 - 3 Difaa El Jadida Botola Pro
Dec 20, 2020 Difaa El Jadida 1 - 2 Maghreb de Fès Botola Pro
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Maghreb de Fès to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Maghreb de Fès Power 0
Difaa El Jadida Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Maghreb de Fès Position

+5

Position Gap

6

Difaa El Jadida Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.