AI Match Insights

Primera División Feb 09, 2026

FC Cajamarca

Home
VS
20:30

Deportivo Garcilaso

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
FC Cajamarca Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Deportivo Garcilaso Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 56%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 3.31 - 0.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.3 vs 0.2
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Cajamarca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Deportivo Garcilaso Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
81%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (16%) 1-0 (10%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
FC Cajamarca Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 FC Cajama… vs Juan Pabl… 3-3
Nov 02 FC Cajama… vs UCV Moque… 2-0
Oct 26 FC Cajama… vs UCV Moque… 2-1
Oct 19 FC Cajama… vs César Val… 3-0
Oct 12 FC Cajama… vs César Val… 0-0
Sep 21 FC Cajama… vs Carlos A.… 1-3
Sep 06 FC Cajama… vs UCV Moque… 2-1
Aug 31 FC Cajama… vs Bentín Ta… 0-0
Aug 23 FC Cajama… vs César Val… 2-0
Aug 17 FC Cajama… vs Carlos A.… 2-2
Deportivo Garcilaso Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Deportivo… vs Sporting … 1-1
Nov 08 Deportivo… vs Universit… 0-0
Nov 01 Deportivo… vs ADT 1-0
Oct 25 Deportivo… vs Ayacucho … 4-2
Oct 19 Deportivo… vs Sporting … 0-1
Oct 13 Deportivo… vs Juan Pabl… 0-1
Oct 05 Deportivo… vs Alianza A… 2-4
Oct 01 Deportivo… vs Cusco 4-0
Sep 26 Deportivo… vs UTC 0-0
Sep 20 Deportivo… vs Molinos E… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Cajamarca Power 0
Deportivo Garcilaso Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

FC Cajamarca Position

+4

Position Gap

12

Deportivo Garcilaso Position

Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.