AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera División Feb 06, 2026

UCV Moquegua

Home
VS
20:00

UTC

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
UCV Moquegua Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
UTC Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 4.19 - 0.81
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.2 vs 0.8
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
UCV Moquegua Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
20%
UTC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
UCV Moquegua Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 UCV Moque… vs Comercian… 1-0
Nov 16 UCV Moque… vs César Val… 2-2
Nov 09 UCV Moque… vs César Val… 0-1
Nov 02 UCV Moque… vs FC Cajama… 2-0
Oct 26 UCV Moque… vs FC Cajama… 2-1
Oct 19 UCV Moque… vs Union Com… 1-1
Oct 12 UCV Moque… vs Union Com… 2-1
Oct 05 UCV Moque… vs Deportiva… 2-1
Sep 21 UCV Moque… vs César Val… 1-1
Sep 14 UCV Moque… vs Carlos A.… 6-2
UTC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 UTC vs Atletico … 2-0
Nov 23 UTC vs Alianza L… 3-0
Nov 09 UTC vs Sport Hua… 0-3
Nov 02 UTC vs Sport Boys 2-2
Oct 26 UTC vs Alianza U… 3-2
Oct 19 UTC vs Atletico … 0-2
Oct 13 UTC vs Cienciano 0-2
Oct 03 UTC vs Comercian… 2-1
Sep 29 UTC vs Cultural … 2-0
Sep 26 UTC vs Deportivo… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
UCV Moquegua Power 0
UTC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

UCV Moquegua Position

-12

Position Gap

3

UTC Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.