AI Match Insights

Ekstraklasa Feb 15, 2026

Lech Poznan

Home
VS
16:30

Piast Gliwice

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Lech Poznan Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Piast Gliwice Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 55%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 2.24 - 1.10
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 1.1
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lech Poznan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Piast Gliwice Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Lech Poznan Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Lech Pozn… vs Piast Gli… 1-0
Jan 31 Lech Pozn… vs Lechia Gd… 1-3
Dec 11 Lech Pozn… vs FSV Mainz… 1-1
Dec 07 Lech Pozn… vs Cracovia … 2-2
Dec 03 Lech Pozn… vs Piast Gli… 0-2
Nov 30 Lech Pozn… vs Wisla Plo… 0-0
Nov 27 Lech Pozn… vs Lausanne 2-0
Nov 23 Lech Pozn… vs Radomiak … 4-1
Nov 09 Lech Pozn… vs Arka Gdyn… 3-1
Nov 06 Lech Pozn… vs Rayo Vall… 3-2
Piast Gliwice Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Piast Gli… vs Lech Pozn… 1-0
Jan 31 Piast Gli… vs Gornik Za… 2-1
Jan 10 Piast Gli… vs Sigma Olo… 2-0
Dec 14 Piast Gli… vs Legia War… 0-1
Dec 06 Piast Gli… vs Legia War… 2-0
Dec 03 Piast Gli… vs Lech Pozn… 0-2
Nov 28 Piast Gli… vs Widzew Łó… 0-2
Nov 22 Piast Gli… vs Raków Czę… 1-3
Nov 08 Piast Gli… vs GKS Katow… 1-3
Oct 31 Piast Gli… vs Korona Ki… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Piast Gliwice in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 03, 2026 Piast Gliwice 1 - 0 Lech Poznan Ekstraklasa
Dec 03, 2025 Piast Gliwice 0 - 2 Lech Poznan Cup
May 24, 2025 Lech Poznan 1 - 0 Piast Gliwice Ekstraklasa
Nov 29, 2024 Piast Gliwice 0 - 0 Lech Poznan Ekstraklasa
Jun 29, 2024 Lech Poznan 0 - 1 Piast Gliwice Friendlies Clu…
Dec 10, 2023 Lech Poznan 0 - 1 Piast Gliwice Ekstraklasa
Jul 22, 2023 Piast Gliwice 1 - 2 Lech Poznan Ekstraklasa
Mar 12, 2023 Piast Gliwice 1 - 1 Lech Poznan Ekstraklasa
Aug 28, 2022 Lech Poznan 1 - 0 Piast Gliwice Ekstraklasa
May 08, 2022 Piast Gliwice 1 - 2 Lech Poznan Ekstraklasa
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lech Poznan Power 0
Piast Gliwice Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Lech Poznan Position

+3

Position Gap

12

Piast Gliwice Position

Home Win Rate: 30%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.