AI Match Insights

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Ekstraklasa Feb 08, 2026

Pogoń Szczecin

Home
VS
11:15

Nieciecza

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Pogoń Szczecin Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Nieciecza Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 63%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 4.50 - 1.16
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.2
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Pogoń Szczecin Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Nieciecza Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (4%) 2-0 (4%) 2-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Pogoń Szczecin Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Pogoń Szc… vs Motor Lub… 2-1
Jan 18 Pogoń Szc… vs FK Jablon… 0-0
Dec 06 Pogoń Szc… vs Radomiak … 2-2
Dec 02 Pogoń Szc… vs Widzew Łó… 0-1
Nov 29 Pogoń Szc… vs GKS Katow… 2-0
Nov 24 Pogoń Szc… vs Zaglebie … 5-1
Nov 09 Pogoń Szc… vs Jagiellon… 1-2
Nov 03 Pogoń Szc… vs Wisla Plo… 2-0
Oct 30 Pogoń Szc… vs Legia War… 1-2
Oct 25 Pogoń Szc… vs Cracovia … 2-1
Nieciecza Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Nieciecza vs Cracovia … 0-1
Dec 07 Nieciecza vs Jagiellon… 2-1
Nov 29 Nieciecza vs Lechia Gd… 5-1
Nov 21 Nieciecza vs Arka Gdyn… 2-0
Nov 09 Nieciecza vs Legia War… 1-2
Oct 31 Nieciecza vs GKS Katow… 0-3
Oct 24 Nieciecza vs Zaglebie … 1-1
Oct 20 Nieciecza vs Wisla Plo… 3-1
Oct 04 Nieciecza vs Widzew Łó… 2-4
Sep 27 Nieciecza vs Piast Gli… 4-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Nieciecza in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Pogoń Szczecin struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 02, 2025 Nieciecza 1 - 1 Pogoń Szczecin Ekstraklasa
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Pogoń Szczecin to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Pogoń Szczecin Power 0
Nieciecza Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Pogoń Szczecin Position

+4

Position Gap

18

Nieciecza Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.