AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ekstraklasa Feb 07, 2026

Gornik Zabrze

Home
VS
19:15

Lech Poznan

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Gornik Zabrze Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Lech Poznan Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 3.51 - 0.64
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.6 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Gornik Zabrze Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Lech Poznan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-0 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Gornik Zabrze Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Gornik Za… vs Piast Gli… 2-1
Dec 05 Gornik Za… vs Lechia Gd… 5-2
Dec 02 Gornik Za… vs Lechia Gd… 1-3
Nov 28 Gornik Za… vs Radomiak … 4-0
Nov 21 Gornik Za… vs Wisla Plo… 1-1
Nov 07 Gornik Za… vs Zaglebie … 2-0
Nov 02 Gornik Za… vs Arka Gdyn… 5-1
Oct 30 Gornik Za… vs Arka Gdyn… 1-2
Oct 26 Gornik Za… vs Jagiellon… 2-1
Oct 18 Gornik Za… vs Korona Ki… 1-1
Lech Poznan Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Lech Pozn… vs Piast Gli… 1-0
Jan 31 Lech Pozn… vs Lechia Gd… 1-3
Dec 11 Lech Pozn… vs FSV Mainz… 1-1
Dec 07 Lech Pozn… vs Cracovia … 2-2
Dec 03 Lech Pozn… vs Piast Gli… 0-2
Nov 30 Lech Pozn… vs Wisla Plo… 0-0
Nov 27 Lech Pozn… vs Lausanne 2-0
Nov 23 Lech Pozn… vs Radomiak … 4-1
Nov 09 Lech Pozn… vs Arka Gdyn… 3-1
Nov 06 Lech Pozn… vs Rayo Vall… 3-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 02, 2025 Lech Poznan 2 - 1 Gornik Zabrze Ekstraklasa
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Gornik Zabrze to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Gornik Zabrze Power 0
Lech Poznan Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Gornik Zabrze Position

+7

Position Gap

9

Lech Poznan Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.