AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ekstraklasa Feb 07, 2026

Jagiellonia

Home
VS
16:30

Motor Lublin

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Jagiellonia Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Motor Lublin Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 3.27 - 0.55
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.3 vs 0.6 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Jagiellonia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Motor Lublin Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (12%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Jagiellonia Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Jagiellon… vs Widzew Łó… 1-3
Dec 18 Jagiellon… vs AZ Alkmaar 0-0
Dec 14 Jagiellon… vs Motor Lub… 1-1
Dec 11 Jagiellon… vs Rayo Vall… 1-2
Dec 07 Jagiellon… vs Nieciecza 2-1
Dec 04 Jagiellon… vs GKS Katow… 3-1
Nov 30 Jagiellon… vs Zaglebie … 0-0
Nov 27 Jagiellon… vs KuPS 1-0
Nov 14 Jagiellon… vs Pogoń Gro… 5-1
Nov 09 Jagiellon… vs Pogoń Szc… 1-2
Motor Lublin Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Motor Lub… vs Pogoń Szc… 2-1
Dec 14 Motor Lub… vs Jagiellon… 1-1
Dec 06 Motor Lub… vs Arka Gdyn… 1-0
Dec 01 Motor Lub… vs Legia War… 1-1
Nov 22 Motor Lub… vs Cracovia … 1-2
Nov 08 Motor Lub… vs Wisla Plo… 1-1
Nov 02 Motor Lub… vs Lech Pozn… 2-2
Oct 24 Motor Lub… vs Widzew Łó… 3-0
Oct 17 Motor Lub… vs GKS Katow… 2-5
Oct 05 Motor Lub… vs Raków Czę… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 14, 2025 Motor Lublin 1 - 1 Jagiellonia Ekstraklasa
Feb 16, 2025 Jagiellonia 3 - 0 Motor Lublin Ekstraklasa
Sep 25, 2024 Motor Lublin 0 - 2 Jagiellonia Ekstraklasa
Jan 17, 2024 Jagiellonia 0 - 0 Motor Lublin Friendlies Clu…
Jul 04, 2023 Motor Lublin 1 - 1 Jagiellonia Friendlies Clu…
Jan 21, 2023 Motor Lublin 1 - 1 Jagiellonia Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Jagiellonia to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Jagiellonia Power 0
Motor Lublin Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Jagiellonia Position

+7

Position Gap

10

Motor Lublin Position
Home Win Rate: 71%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.