AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ekstraklasa Feb 07, 2026

Arka Gdynia

Home
VS
13:45

Legia Warszawa

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Arka Gdynia Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Legia Warszawa Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 3.12 - 0.52
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 0.5
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Arka Gdynia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Legia Warszawa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (13%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Arka Gdynia Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 20 Arka Gdyn… vs FK Sparta… 4-1
Dec 06 Arka Gdyn… vs Motor Lub… 1-0
Nov 30 Arka Gdyn… vs Raków Czę… 1-4
Nov 21 Arka Gdyn… vs Nieciecza 2-0
Nov 09 Arka Gdyn… vs Lech Pozn… 3-1
Nov 02 Arka Gdyn… vs Gornik Za… 5-1
Oct 30 Arka Gdyn… vs Gornik Za… 1-2
Oct 25 Arka Gdyn… vs Piast Gli… 2-1
Oct 18 Arka Gdyn… vs Jagiellon… 4-0
Oct 04 Arka Gdyn… vs Cracovia … 2-1
Legia Warszawa Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Legia War… vs Korona Ki… 1-2
Jan 22 Legia War… vs Slavia Pr… 3-3
Dec 18 Legia War… vs Lincoln R… 4-1
Dec 14 Legia War… vs Piast Gli… 0-1
Dec 11 Legia War… vs Artsakh 2-1
Dec 06 Legia War… vs Piast Gli… 2-0
Dec 01 Legia War… vs Motor Lub… 1-1
Nov 27 Legia War… vs Slavia Pr… 0-1
Nov 22 Legia War… vs Lechia Gd… 2-2
Nov 15 Legia War… vs Znicz Pru… 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Arka Gdynia in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Legia Warszawa struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 03, 2025 Legia Warszawa 0 - 0 Arka Gdynia Ekstraklasa
Jun 10, 2020 Legia Warszawa 5 - 1 Arka Gdynia Ekstraklasa
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Arka Gdynia to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Arka Gdynia Power 0
Legia Warszawa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

Arka Gdynia Position

+2

Position Gap

17

Legia Warszawa Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.