AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Première Division Jan 21, 2025

USFAS Bamako

Home
VS
15:45

Bougouni

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
USFAS Bamako Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Bougouni Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.90 - 0.94
Key Insights
Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
USFAS Bamako Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Bougouni Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
39%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (16%) 0-1 (15%) 1-0 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 0-2 (7%) 2-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
USFAS Bamako Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 15 USFAS Bam… vs Diarra 0-2
Jan 11 USFAS Bam… vs US Bougou… 2-1
Jan 06 USFAS Bam… vs Onze Créa… 1-3
Dec 11 USFAS Bam… vs Djoliba AC 1-2
Nov 24 USFAS Bam… vs Réal Bama… 0-0
May 22 USFAS Bam… vs ASKO 2-2
May 16 USFAS Bam… vs Réal Bama… 1-1
Apr 13 USFAS Bam… vs US Bougou… 0-2
Mar 24 USFAS Bam… vs Djoliba AC 0-2
Mar 16 USFAS Bam… vs Bougouni 1-0
Bougouni Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 06 Bougouni vs Réal Bama… 0-3
Dec 14 Bougouni vs ASKO 0-0
May 04 Bougouni vs ASKO 1-2
Apr 20 Bougouni vs Réal Bama… 2-1
Apr 14 Bougouni vs Onze Créa… 0-1
Mar 24 Bougouni vs Stade Mal… 0-0
Mar 16 Bougouni vs USFAS Bam… 1-0
Feb 04 Bougouni vs Djoliba AC 2-2
Jan 03 Bougouni vs Stade Mal… 1-1
Dec 23 Bougouni vs ASKO 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • USFAS Bamako in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 16, 2024 USFAS Bamako 1 - 0 Bougouni Première Divis…
Nov 18, 2023 Bougouni 0 - 0 USFAS Bamako Première Divis…
Jun 17, 2023 USFAS Bamako 3 - 0 Bougouni Première Divis…
Feb 04, 2023 Bougouni 3 - 0 USFAS Bamako Première Divis…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: USFAS Bamako to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
USFAS Bamako Power 0
Bougouni Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

USFAS Bamako Position

+7

Position Gap

13

Bougouni Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.