AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Première Division Mar 16, 2024

USFAS Bamako

Home
VS
18:15

Bougouni

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
USFAS Bamako Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Bougouni Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.80 - 0.67
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.7 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
USFAS Bamako Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Bougouni Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%) 3-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Under 2.5 Goals 56%
USFAS Bamako Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 23 USFAS Bam… vs Onze Créa… 1-0
Jan 21 USFAS Bam… vs ASKO 2-1
Jan 05 USFAS Bam… vs Réal Bama… 0-1
Dec 06 USFAS Bam… vs US Bougou… 0-1
Nov 25 USFAS Bam… vs Djoliba AC 2-1
Nov 18 USFAS Bam… vs Bougouni 0-0
Nov 12 USFAS Bam… vs Onze Créa… 1-0
Jul 02 USFAS Bam… vs ASKO 0-0
Jun 17 USFAS Bam… vs Bougouni 3-0
Jun 13 USFAS Bam… vs Réal Bama… 1-1
Bougouni Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Bougouni vs Djoliba AC 2-2
Jan 03 Bougouni vs Stade Mal… 1-1
Dec 23 Bougouni vs ASKO 1-1
Dec 10 Bougouni vs Réal Bama… 2-2
Dec 06 Bougouni vs Onze Créa… 1-0
Nov 18 Bougouni vs USFAS Bam… 0-0
Nov 02 Bougouni vs Djoliba AC 1-2
Jul 09 Bougouni vs Onze Créa… 2-1
Jul 06 Bougouni vs ASKO 1-1
Jun 17 Bougouni vs USFAS Bam… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • USFAS Bamako struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 18, 2023 Bougouni 0 - 0 USFAS Bamako Première Divis…
Jun 17, 2023 USFAS Bamako 3 - 0 Bougouni Première Divis…
Feb 04, 2023 Bougouni 3 - 0 USFAS Bamako Première Divis…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: USFAS Bamako to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
USFAS Bamako Power 0
Bougouni Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

USFAS Bamako Position

+7

Position Gap

13

Bougouni Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.