AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Première Division Nov 18, 2023

Bougouni

Home
VS
16:00

USFAS Bamako

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Bougouni Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
USFAS Bamako Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 1.75 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.2
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bougouni Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
USFAS Bamako Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%) 2-0 (22%) 0-0 (14%) 3-0 (13%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Under 2.5 Goals 70%
Bougouni Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 02 Bougouni vs Djoliba AC 1-2
Jul 09 Bougouni vs Onze Créa… 2-1
Jul 06 Bougouni vs ASKO 1-1
Jun 17 Bougouni vs USFAS Bam… 3-0
Jun 01 Bougouni vs Stade Mal… 0-0
May 27 Bougouni vs Djoliba AC 0-2
May 14 Bougouni vs Réal Bama… 2-1
Apr 19 Bougouni vs Onze Créa… 2-1
Apr 09 Bougouni vs ASKO 2-0
Feb 04 Bougouni vs USFAS Bam… 3-0
USFAS Bamako Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 12 USFAS Bam… vs Onze Créa… 1-0
Jul 02 USFAS Bam… vs ASKO 0-0
Jun 17 USFAS Bam… vs Bougouni 3-0
Jun 13 USFAS Bam… vs Réal Bama… 1-1
Jun 01 USFAS Bam… vs Onze Créa… 0-1
May 24 USFAS Bam… vs Djoliba AC 0-0
Apr 05 USFAS Bam… vs ASKO 0-0
Feb 04 USFAS Bam… vs Bougouni 3-0
Dec 28 USFAS Bam… vs Réal Bama… 1-0
Dec 11 USFAS Bam… vs Onze Créa… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 17, 2023 USFAS Bamako 3 - 0 Bougouni Première Divis…
Feb 04, 2023 Bougouni 3 - 0 USFAS Bamako Première Divis…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bougouni Power 0
USFAS Bamako Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Bougouni Position

-7

Position Gap

6

USFAS Bamako Position
Home Win Rate: 14%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.