AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Feb 11, 2026

Chapecoense

Home
VS
22:00

Coritiba

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Chapecoense Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Coritiba Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 51%
xG: 1.09 - 0.40
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.4 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Chapecoense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Coritiba Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
67%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%) 0-0 (23%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Under 2.5 Goals 81%
Chapecoense Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Chapecoen… vs Vasco DA … 1-1
Feb 01 Chapecoen… vs Criciúma 1-2
Jan 28 Chapecoen… vs Santos 4-2
Jan 25 Chapecoen… vs Joinville 6-0
Jan 22 Chapecoen… vs Avaí 1-1
Jan 18 Chapecoen… vs Marcílio … 1-0
Jan 14 Chapecoen… vs Concórdia 1-2
Jan 11 Chapecoen… vs Camboriú 2-0
Jan 06 Chapecoen… vs Brusque 1-1
Nov 23 Chapecoen… vs Athletico… 1-0
Coritiba Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 06 Coritiba vs Cruzeiro 1-2
Jan 31 Coritiba vs Cianorte 0-1
Jan 28 Coritiba vs RB Bragan… 0-1
Jan 24 Coritiba vs Cascavel 1-1
Jan 21 Coritiba vs Independi… 0-1
Jan 17 Coritiba vs Athletico… 0-1
Jan 13 Coritiba vs Maringá 0-1
Jan 10 Coritiba vs Londrina 2-2
Jan 07 Coritiba vs Foz Do Ig… 2-3
Nov 11 Coritiba vs Cruzeiro 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Chapecoense in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

MASTER: Chapecoense to win (78% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 78% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 96
Chapecoense Power 0
Coritiba Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Chapecoense Position

+8

Position Gap

11

Coritiba Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.